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Matthew 3:7-10

But when he saw many of the Pharisees and Sadducees coming to where he was baptizing, he said to them: "You brood of vipers! Who warned you to flee from the coming wrath?

Produce fruit in keeping with repentance.

And do not think you can say to yourselves, 'We have Abraham as our father.' I tell you that out of these stones God can raise up children for Abraham.

The ax is already at the root of the trees, and every tree that does not produce good fruit will be cut down and thrown into the fire.


Stupid Fact of the Week
There was only one civilian casualty during the three-day Battle of Gettysburg

18 February, 2009
THE ROCKEL OSCAR PREDICTION CONTEST EXTRAVAGANZATHON RETURNS
Made it back just in time...

Sincere apologies, once again, for my neglectful ways... and I really have no excuse as I've had nothing but time on my hands as work is slow here, hopefully this will change that.

I have been doing some writing (obviously not here) over the past month or so, which has been rewarding. I've revamped an old short script, nearly completed a feature length script, and have met a few times with a friend who wants to attempt to adapt an H. C. Anderson short story.

But looking to the future, the Oscars are almost upon us... Hollywood Blvd. between Orange and Highland has been closed all week long in preparation... and hopefully you will all take a moment or two to prepare some predictions in an attempt to dethrone me as I defend my title (I won last year, right? Not important, we shall assume I did).

So get your predictions in... same rules as last year, which were the same as the year before... you get one (1) point for every correct prediction except for the three (3) "short" categories, which are worth one-tenth (0.1) of one point each to serve as a tiebreaker... predictions must be in before the ceremony begins... and, unfortunately, the producers of this contest weren't able - in these tough economic times - to raise the funds needed to match last year's prize, so this year the prize will be slashed in half, all the way back to what it was at the first annual contest (from to years ago): just one helping of pride and bragging rights. Still, not too shabby.

I look forward to beating you all.

(nominees can be found here)
posted by Rockel @ 3:43 PM  
8 Comments:
  • At 18/2/09 5:14 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said…

    I havent been keeping up much and I will still whoop on you.

     
  • At 18/2/09 6:29 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said…

    Best Actor
    Mickey Rourke - The Wrestler

    Best Supporting Actor
    Heath Ledger - The Dark Knight

    Best Actress
    Kate Winslet - The Reader

    Best Supporting Actress
    Penelope Cruz - Vicky Cristina Barcelona

    Best Animated Film
    Wall-E

    Art Direction
    The Curious Case of Benjamin Button

    Cinematography
    Slumdog Millionaire

    Costume Design
    The Dutchess

    Best Director
    Danny Boyle - Slumdog Millionaire

    Best Documentary Feature
    Man on Wire

    Film Editing
    The Dark Knight

    Best Foreign Language Film
    Waltz with Bashir

    Best Makeup
    The Curious Case of Benjamin Button

    Best Original Score
    Slumdog Millionaire

    Best Original Song
    "Down to Earth" - Wall-E

    Sound Editing
    Iron Man

    Sound Mixing
    The Dark Knight

    Visual Effects
    Iron Man

    Best Adapted Screenplay
    Slumdog Millionaire

    Original Screenplay
    Wall-E

    Best Picture
    Slumdog Millionaire



    Best Documentary Short Subject
    The Witness - From the Balcony of Room 306

    Best Live Action Short
    Spielzeugland

    Best Animated Short
    Presto

     
  • At 18/2/09 7:49 PM, Blogger FaithInArts said…

    Here ya Rockel
    Oscar 81st Predicts:
    Lead Actor: Mickey Rourke - The Wrestler
    Supporting Actor: Heath Ledger - The Dark Knight
    Leading Actress: Anne Hathaway - Rachel Getting Married
    Supporting Actress: Amy Adams - Doubt
    Animated Feature: Tie : Wall-E & Kung Fu Panda
    Art Direction: Curious Case Of Benjamin Button
    Cinematography: The Dark Knight
    Costume Design: Revolutionary Road
    Directing: Slumdog Millionaire
    Feature Documentary: Encounters At The End Of The World
    Short Documentary: The Final Inch
    Film Editing: The Dark Knight
    Foreign Language: Departures
    Music (Score): Wall-E
    Music (Song): “Down To Earth” Wall-E
    Best Picture: The Reader
    Short Animated: Presto
    Short Live: Manon On The Asphalt
    Sound Editing: Iron Man
    Sound Mixing: The Dark Knight
    Visual Effects: Iron Man
    Writing (Adaptation): Doubt
    Writing (Original): Wall-E

    and you must tell me what HC Anderson piece you're looking at since, I've worked on and in current rewriting my old Anderson piece in a feature length musical now.

     
  • At 19/2/09 8:30 AM, Blogger Luke Custer said…

    Here are my predictions:

    Leading Actor: Mickey Rourke

    Supporting Actor: Heath Ledger

    Leading Actress: Kate Winslet

    Supporting Actress: Viola Davis

    Animated Feature: Wall-E

    Art Direction: The Curious Case of Benjamin Button

    Cinematography: Slumdog Millionaire

    Costume Design: The Duchess

    Directing: Danny Boyle -Slumdog Millionaire

    Documentary Feature: Man on Wire

    Documentary Short: The Conscience of Nhem En

    Film Editing: The Dark Knight

    Foreign Language Film: Waltz With Bashir

    Makeup: The Curious Case of Benjamin Button

    Music (Score): Slumdog Millionaire

    Music (Song): "Down to Earth" - Wall-E

    Best Picture: Slumdog Millionaire

    Short Film (Animated): Presto

    Short Film (Live action): Auf Der Strecke (On the Line)

    Sound Editing: The Dark Knight

    Sound Mixing: Wall-E

    Visual Effects: The Curious Case of Benjamin Button

    Writing (Adapted Screenplay): Frost/Nixon

    Writing (Original Screenplay): Milk


    -Luke

     
  • At 20/2/09 10:47 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said…

    It'll be ugly this year for me, I didn't do nearly as much movie going as I should have to keep on top of things. As it stands:

    Actor - Mickey Rourke

    Supporting Actor- Philip Seymour Hoffman (I know I'm going against the grain here...)

    Actress - Kate Winslet (cause she's a babe)

    Supporting Actress - Amy Adams

    Animated - Wall-E (of course)

    Art Direction - The Dark Knight

    Cinematography - Slumdog Millionaire

    Costume Design - the duchess

    Directing - Curious Case of B. Button

    Doc Feature - Encounters at the end of the World

    Doc Short - The final Inch

    Film Editing - Slumdog Millionaire

    Foreign Lang. - Waltz w/ Bashir

    Makeup - The C. Case of B. Button

    Orig. Score - Slumdog Millionaire

    Best Picture - Slumdog Millionaire

    Short Film, Animated: Presto

    Short Film, Live action: New Boy

    Sound Editing: Iron Man

    Sound Mixing: the Dark Knight

    Vis Effects: The C. Case of B Button

    Screenplay, Adapted: The Reader

    Screenplay, Original: In Bruges

     
  • At 21/2/09 10:10 PM, Blogger FaithInArts said…

    forgot makeup and need to break my tie line here.

    Makeup: I could see this go either way Dark Knight or Curious Case, But Curious Case of Benjamin Button will probably get it so I pick it.

    Now to de-tie the Animated Feature. Honestly both movies were great. But in sheer use of heart warming gooity Wall-E takes the win. Although foreseeing a tie would unprecedented but rather cool for that category.

     
  • At 22/2/09 11:02 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said…

    Leading Actor: Sean Penn (I didn't know he was gay)

    Supporting Actor: Heath Ledger (Vegas odds are 45:1 ... not to be confused with 1 in 45)

    Leading Actress: Melissa Leo (Here's to character actors all across this great land.)

    Supporting Actress: Penelope Cruz (Proving once again that if your parents name you Penelope it is possible to be both gorgeous and talented.)

    Animated Feature: Wall-E (Mmmmmmm)

    Art Direction: The Curious Case of Benjamin Button (Yeah it was pretty)

    Cinematography: Slumdog (Bollywood has begun their takeover)

    Costume Design: The Duchess (Never bet against the period piece)

    Directing: Danny Boyle (Think anyone ever sang his name to Danny Boy Danny Boy ... I can't get over my creativity)

    Documentary Feature: Man on Wire (The soundtrack includes Man on the Run ... with the word run replaced with wire ... genius)

    Documentary Short: The Witness (Here's to remembering the good Dr.)

    Film Editing: Slumdog (I wonder if I can name my first child Slumdog)

    Foreign Language Film: The Class (The only good thing to come out of France since fries)

    Makeup: The Curious Case of Benjamin Button (One of the only impressive things about this film ... 13 nominations ... seriously?)

    Music (Score): Slumdog (Indians know how to jam)

    Music (Song): "Jai Ho" - Slumdog (Because it never made dancing between subway cars look so good)

    Best Picture: Slumdog (Is that my foot ... oh yeah ... it was just taken off by the Bollywood express)

    Short Film (Animated): Presto (... Chango -- name that musical ... anyone?)

    Short Film (Live action): Newboy (Much better than old boy ... this ridiculous film where a baby is born old and then ages backwards ... yeah ... ludicrous)

    Sound Editing: Wall-E (Robots make sweet sounds)

    Sound Mixing: Wall-E (Here's to Pixar saving the world)

    Visual Effects: The Curious Case of Benjamin Button (Benji ... now that was a visually spectacular movie)

    Writing (Adapted Screenplay): Slumdog (it's official ... Slumdog Mendenhall ... I hope he becomes a rapper in the vein of MIA)

    Writing (Original Screenplay): Milk (Does a body good)

     
  • At 22/2/09 11:11 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said…

    Alright, here goes nothin':

    Actor in a Leading Role:
    ~Mickey Rourke~
    Part of me wants to say Penn will take it in this year of politics but I think this one might be in the bag.

    Actor in a Supporting Role:
    ~Heath Ledger~
    You almost have to feel sorry for the other guys coming up against this. Even if someone else does win, what will he say? Sorry?

    Actress in a Leading Role
    ~Meryl Streep~
    Oh the agony of this pick. I didn't see Frozen River, thought Angelina Jolie did a terrible job of attempting to carry the cinematic equivalent of a one woman show, love Kate Winslet but really didn't feel this was the best role for her(still she's favored for some reason), and thought Anne Hathaway was just delicious in Rachel Getting Married. I just think it's time for Streep to get another one and don't know that the Academy is ready to reward Miss Princess Dairies for a terrific turnaround.

    Actress in a Supporting Role:
    ~Amy Adams~
    I'm probably just digging myself deeper in the hole of no points.

    Animated Feature Film:
    ~Wall-E~
    I mean come on.

    Art Direction:
    ~The Curious Case of Benjamin Button~
    I suppose it's going to win something.

    Cinematography:
    ~Slumdog Millionaire~
    It's gonna win something too. But since I picked it, probably not this.

    Costume Design:
    ~The Curious Case of Benjamin Button~
    I have no idea.

    Directing:
    ~Danny Boyle, Slumdog Millionaire~
    Because I think that this is probably gonna take best picture and therefore this prize with it but I'll decide when I get to that category.

    Documentary Feature:
    ~Man on Wire~
    It was my first instinct. After reading the descriptions Trouble the Water seemed like it would be the most popular topic but maybe not so well done?

    Documentary Short:
    ~The Conscience of Nhem En~
    Although Pinki looked pretty adorable. And her name is Pinki.

    Film Editing:
    ~The Dark Knight~
    Because I know nothing about this category but this so should've been nominated for best picture over The Reader.

    Foreign Language Film:
    ~Waltz with Bashir~

    Makeup:
    ~The Curious Case of Benjamin Button~
    Notice Kate Winslet' makeup technicians did not get nominated for her aging in The Reader because it was terrible.

    Music (Score):
    ~Slumdog Millionaire~

    Music (Song):
    ~Down to Earth, Wall-E~
    I fell asleep during the movie so I don't remember the song. I was really tired.

    Best Picture:
    ~Slumdog Millionaire~
    I said Milk, then erased it because I am a weenie. However, if Benjamin Button or The Reader (the only two in this category that I've seen) win, no one came out with a good film this year.

    Short Film (Animated):
    ~This Way Up~

    Short Film (Live Action):
    ~Auf Der Strecke~

    Sound Editing:
    ~Wall-E~
    All I know is that it was loud while I was trying to sleep.

    Sound Mixing:
    ~The Dark Knight~

    Visual Effects:
    ~Iron Man~
    Eh? I guess it'll win something too?

    Writing (Adapted Screenplay):
    ~Slumdog Millionaire~

    Writing (Original Screenplay):
    ~Milk~

     
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Lyrics of the Week

ON THE NICKEL
by Tom Waits

("I'd like to do a new song here. This is eh, it's about downtown Los Angeles on 5th Street. And eh all the winos affectionately refer to it as The Nickel. So this is kind of a hobo's lullaby.")

sticks and stones will break my bones,
but i always will be true, and when
your mama is dead and gone,
i'll sing this lullabye just for you,
and what becomes of all the little boys,
who never comb their hair,
well they're lined up all around the block,
on the nickel over there.

so you better bring a bucket,
there is a hole in the pail,
and if you don't get my letter,
then you'll know that i'm in jail,
and what becomes of all the little boys,
who never say their prayers,
well they're sleepin' like a baby,
on the nickel over there.

and if you chew tobacco, and wish upon a star,
well you'll find out where the scarecrows sit,
just like punchlines between the cars,
and i know a place where a royal flush,
can never beat a pair, and even thomas jefferson,
is on the nickel over there.

so ring around the rosie, you're sleepin' in the rain,
and you're always late for supper,
and man you let me down again,
i thought i heard a mockingbird, roosevelt knows where,
you can skip the light, with grady tuck,
on the nickel over there.

so what becomes of all the little boys,
who run away from home,
well the world just keeps gettin' bigger,
once you get out on your own,
so here's to all the little boys,
the sandman takes you where,
you'll be sleepin' with a pillowman,
on the nickel over there.

so let's climb up through that button hole,
and we'll fall right up the stairs,
and i'll show you where the short dogs grow,
on the nickel over there.

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